BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust Plc - Portfolio Update

BLACKROCK FRONTIERS INVESTMENT TRUST PLC (LEI: 5493003K5E043LHLO706)

All information is at 31 December 2022 and unaudited.

Performance at month end with net income reinvested.

One
 month
%
Three
months
%
One
 year
%
Three
 years
%
Five
 years
%
Since 
Launch*
%
Sterling:
Share price -1.7 1.0 2.0 9.0 -1.2 97.5
Net asset value -2.5 0.0 5.7 26.2 14.9 122.7
Benchmark (NR)** -2.7 -3.0 7.7 11.0 13.4 81.9
MSCI Frontiers Index (NR) -2.5 -8.0 -17.1 -1.5 -0.8 60.3
MSCI Emerging Markets Index (NR) -2.4 1.8 -10.0 1.5 4.8 49.4
US Dollars:
Share price -0.7 8.8 -9.4 -1.0 -12.0 53.0
Net asset value -1.6 7.8 -6.1 14.5 2.3 72.3
Benchmark (NR)** -1.7 4.5 -4.4 0.8 0.8 41.5
MSCI Frontiers Index (NR) -1.5 -0.8 -26.3 -10.6 -11.8 23.6
MSCI Emerging Markets Index (NR) -1.4 9.7 -20.1 -7.9 -6.8 15.2

Sources: BlackRock and Standard & Poor’s Micropal

* 17 December 2010.

** The Company’s benchmark changed from MSCI Frontier Markets Index to MSCI Emerging ex Selected Countries + Frontier Markets + Saudi Arabia Index (net total return, USD) effective 1/4/2018.
 

At month end
US Dollar
Net asset value - capital only: 166.85c
Net asset value - cum income: 172.31c
Sterling:
Net asset value - capital only: 138.71p
Net asset value - cum income: 143.24p
Share price: 129.00p
Total assets (including income): £271.2m
Discount to cum-income NAV: 9.9%
Gearing: nil
Gearing range (as a % of gross assets): 0-20%
Net yield*: 4.4%
Ordinary shares in issue**: 189,325,748
Ongoing charges***: 1.4%
Ongoing charges plus taxation and performance fee****: 1.4%

*The Company’s yield based on dividends announced in the last 12 months as at the date of the release of this announcement is 4.4% and includes the 2022 interim dividend of 2.75 cents per share, declared on 26 May 2022, and paid to shareholders on 24 June 2022 and the 2022 final dividend of 4.25 cents per share, declared on 8 December 2022, and payable to shareholders on 19 January 2023.

** Excluding 52,497,053 ordinary shares held in treasury.

***The Company’s ongoing charges are calculated as a percentage of average daily net assets and using the management fee and all other operating expenses excluding performance fees, finance costs, direct transaction costs, custody transaction charges, VAT recovered, taxation and certain non-recurring items for Year ended 30 September 2022.

**** The Company’s ongoing charges are calculated as a percentage of average daily net assets and using the management fee and all other operating expenses and including performance fees but excluding finance costs, direct transaction costs, custody transaction charges, VAT recovered, taxation and certain non-recurring items for Year ended 30 September 2022.

Sector
Analysis
Gross market value as a % of net assets Country
Analysis
Gross market value as a % of net assets
Financials 41.9 Saudi Arabia 18.2
Energy 12.1 Indonesia 15.0
Consumer Discretionary 11.2 Vietnam 8.4
Materials 10.2 United Arab Emirates 8.1
Industrials 10.1 Kazakhstan 7.7
Consumer Staples 8.2 Thailand 7.3
Communication Services 5.9 Hungary 5.7
Information Technology 5.0 Chile 5.4
Real Estate 4.4 Malaysia 4.8
Health Care 1.7 Poland 4.4
----- Greece 3.9
110.7 Qatar 3.9
----- Argentina 2.2
Short positions -4.9 Panama 2.2
===== Romania 2.2
Philippines 2.0
Peru 1.9
Georgia 1.5
Egypt 1.5
Colombia 1.5
Kuwait 1.4
Kenya 0.8
Ukraine 0.7
        -----
Total 110.7
-----
Short positions -4.9
=====

*reflects gross market exposure from contracts for difference (CFDs).

Market Exposure
 

31.01
 2022
    %
28.02
 2022
    %
31.03
 2022
    %
30.04
 2022
    %
31.05
 2022
    %
30.06
 2022
    %
31.07
 2022
    %
31.08
 2022
    %
30.09
 2022
    %
31.10
 2022
    %
30.11
 2022
    %
31.12
 2022
    %
Long 108.4 110.7 111.1 110.6 107.9 106.1 107.3 107.3 106.2 107.4 106.2 110.7
Short  1.9  3.3  2.3  1.8  4.7  4.6  6.2  5.3  5.2  5.3 4.8 4.9
Gross 110.3 114.0 113.4 112.4 112.6 110.7 113.5 112.6 111.4 112.7 111.0 115.6
Net 106.5 107.4 108.8 108.8 103.2 101.5 101.1 102.0 101.0 102.1 101.4 105.8

Ten Largest Investments

Company Country of Risk Gross market value as a % of net assets
Bank Central Asia Indonesia 4.9
PKO Bank Polski Poland 4.4
Emaar Properties United Arab Emirates 4.4
Saudi National Bank Saudi Arabia 3.4
Astra International Indonesia 3.3
Genting Malaysia Malaysia 3.1
Bank Mandiri Indonesia 2.9
JSC Kaspi Kazakhstan 2.8
FPT Vietnam 2.8
Qatar Gas Transport Qatar 2.7



 

Commenting on the markets, Sam Vecht and Emily Fletcher, representing the   Investment Manager noted:

The Company’s NAV returned -1.6% versus it’s benchmark the MSCI Emerging ex Selected Countries + Frontier Markets + Saudi Arabia Index (“Benchmark Index”), which was down by 1.7% in December. For reference, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index ended the month down by 1.4% and the MSCI Frontier Markets Index was down by 1.5% over the same period. For the year to 31 December 2022, the Company is down by 6.1%, relative to a benchmark return of -4.4%. The MSCI Frontier Markets Index was down 26.3%, while MSCI Emerging Markets was down 20.1% (all performance figures are on a US Dollar basis with net income reinvested).

Frontier Markets had a mixed month – with Eastern Europe and parts of Latin America doing well while the Middle Eastern markets corrected. Turkey (+8.0%) was the best performing market during the month, followed by Poland (+7.6%). As in November, Eastern Europe continued to benefit from a sequential decrease in gas prices driven primarily by a warm start to the winter season in Europe. Qatar (-10.8%), the United Arab Emirates (-8.3%) and Saudi Arabia (-3.3%) were under pressure in December as energy prices retreated.

In terms of portfolio performance, Saudi grocery chain Abdullah Al Othaim (-10%) was the biggest detractor. While there wasn’t anything stock specific, broader consumer spend remains subdued in the Kingdom. Hungarian low-cost airline Wizz Air (-13%) also gave back some gains after very strong performance in the preceding two months. Polish bank Pekao (+11%) was the top contributor and the Company’s over-weight position was a significant contributor to relative performance. We believe the market’s view on the severity of European recession has shifted Vietnamese IT services provider, FPT Corp (+8%), did well as the market recovered from an extended sell-off in the Vietnamese stock market during 2022. FPT should benefit as a low-cost IT provider to an increasingly global clientele in a tough macro environment.

We made a few changes to the portfolio in December. We initiated a new position in Bank of Georgia given its attractive valuation and potential to substantially increase dividend payout. We added to Indonesian auto conglomerate Astra International on recent price weakness. The outlook for automotive sales remains supportive and the competitive advantages Astra has developed in the sector over many years should sustain. We also added to our Greek cement and building materials holding, Titan Cement. Titan has struggled with higher energy costs and margin pressures in 2022, but we believe the risk-reward for 2023 now looks compelling from those reversing. We took profits on some of the 2022 outperformers, in particular, Kazakh fintech platform Kaspi and Chilean bank Santander. 

We see marked contrast in the monetary and fiscal policy decisions taken in small emerging/frontier and developed markets during 2022 and find significant value in currencies and equity markets across our investment opportunity set. We are optimistic over the long-term in our under-researched investment universe which should enable compelling alpha opportunities.

Sources:

1BlackRock as at 31 December 2022

2MSCI as at 31 December 2022

20 January 2023

ENDS

Latest information is available by typing www.blackrock.com/uk/brfi on the internet, "BLRKINDEX" on Reuters, "BLRK" on Bloomberg or "8800" on Topic 3 (ICV terminal). Neither the contents of the Manager’s website nor the contents of any website accessible from hyperlinks on BlackRock’s website (or any other website) is incorporated into, or forms part of, this announcement.